Comments for "Citi CEO: Citi Will Repay TARP"


Shouldn't it go without saying that EVERY ONE of these banks "will repay" the TARP money?

Are we now changing the terms of the debate to even raise the question that they might not?

Dear CEO: shut up already until you ACTUALLY PAY THE MONEY BACK!

"The Check will be coming soon" just doesn't cut it anymore!


This guy couldnt be more irrelevant at this point. We'll pay back the tarp? Whatever. How bout, convince me you really dont need it?

HAL : I'm afraid. I'm afraid, Dave. Dave, my mind is going. (CHONG : Dave's not here.)


Well, Citi did earn a profit.


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Nationalize the damn banks already. If you find any bandits - gitmo is empty.

.............................

If you don't take your profits, someone else will.


What the hell is going on? Just a few weeks ago, it seemed like GM and Chrysler's bankruptcy was almost guaranteed and now their getting more bailout money? And on top of that, everyone earlier this year was saying unemployment was going to peak later this year and now it's slowly sliming its way into "sometime" next year. And all these banks got the money they wanted but yet credit is still worsening? It's all bullshit!


Recession, what recession? Citi, BoA, Wells are all earning like madmen.

----
"no one is pricing in low, mid teens unemployment in any of their assumptions." - Meredith Whitney


They still may be dancing, but we know who is paying the band.


I want these crooks jailed now! The lying and deception coming out of these clowns, and our governments implicit support in such endeavors is threatening our republic. There will be blood.


If anybody pays Citi's TARP money back, I predict it will be whomever buys the parts of Citi.

Are his speechwriters just trying to copy what solvent banks are saying?

Citi will not pay any of its TARP money back before 2011. By 2011, Citi will either be taken over, sliced up, or dissolved.


From the end of last thread...

Traders Mounting "Speculative Attack" on U.S. Banks
From Simon Johnson:
"....
And I would say, in fact, there's something of a run taking place in the credit market. Not a traditional bank run, but a speculative attack on some of the biggest financial players …."

Specifically, traders are shorting credit of major banks, betting that the government won't protect bondholders forever:

"Basically these people are betting the big banks will be forced into some sort of default. Now, if enough people bet that, and if the banks can't draw on enough external support, which in their case would be from the U.S. government, then these runs can be self-fulfilling. It's extremely dangerous and a situation that's really not been addressed by the U.S. authorities."

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/article/235032/Traders-Mounting-%22...


Citi is not a bank but a lobbying/marketing firm that does some trading.


Repaying the TARP isn't an indication that the banks are healthy. Many of them still depend on gov't backstops. In Goldman's case, they have benefitted more from the FDIC guarantee of their debt than they benefitted from TARP. If a bank cannot stand on its own, it is not healthy.


I think Vikram means that he (personally) will repay all the money that he (personally) recieved direcly from tarp.


no one believes the shit they shovel any longer. Take five minutes....look at any issuing firm's 8-K and start trying to figure out how they actually came up with the ends results. In WFC's case the amounts are laughable.....

Hint: They don't either but it's sure fun to lie and get away with it.

Ciao
MS


Hold on, I forgot another possibility. Citi might payback TARP using some other government gift, subsidy, or loan.


Since we already own Citi(~80%), doesn't that mean that we would only be repaying ourselves?

Sounds like pocket pool to me.


Wake me up when Citi buys back the preferred and/or converted to common government investments. Until then this is shuffling different colors of money.


who would touch C with that additional liability hanging over them?? and simply put if you really wanted to own C you should have plowed all you had into it when it broke a buck for a few hours.

Not even the arabs would do it.....

Ciao
MS

Ciao
MS


Citigroup Chief Executive Vikram Pandit struck a positive, even hopeful tone, at the embattled banking giant's annual meeting, insisting that it is well prepared for success in an economic recovery.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ukeHdiszZmE


Not even the arabs would do it.....

How bout the Gypsies?


SOMALI PIRATES: Shitty CEO wants do stand-up comedy.


Citi - giving us our money back since 2009.


"It's all bullshit!"
---------------------

More than you know!

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/billtext.xpd?bill=h111-645


The manipulation in financial shares right now is a thing to behold. Does anybody really believe that people are "investing" in these companies at these levels. Nope - these companies are trading their own shares up amongst each other. And they're doing it with taxpayer dollars, with the SUPPORT of turbo tax timmy and our other government leaders.

The casino is now hopelessly broken, and beyond repair.


.....and yet, C is up almost 11% today - so, somebody is buying.

.............................

If you don't take your profits, someone else will.


'It's extremely dangerous and a situation that's really not been addressed by the U.S. authorities.'

The U.S. has laws on its books concerning economic terrorism - a few well directed surgical strikes, and the problem goes away.


The casino is now hopelessly broken, and beyond repair.

when I make money at the casino, the casino operates efficiently.

when I lose money at the casino, the casino is "hopelessly broken beyond repair"


Market is soaring!!! Rally, rally! For the land of the free, and the home of the .... brave!!! Bwahahaha!


@NIceCriticalThinker:

"Basically these people are betting the big banks will be forced into some sort of default. Now, if enough people bet that, and if the banks can't draw on enough external support, which in their case would be from the U.S. government, then these runs can be self-fulfilling. It's extremely dangerous and a situation that's really not been addressed by the U.S. authorities."

What Johnson should have said was this:

Basically these people are betting on the inevitable, once the idea was finally floated by the government that the Treasury's deep pockets were not infinitely deep. Now, if enough people figure out what's inevitable, and the banks can't keep the fraud going any longer, then the market will implement the obvious solution. The idiots who are still holding the debt will finally take the haircuts they deserve. It's extremely justified, and a situation that doesn't need to be addressed by the U.S. authorities -- because Adam Smith's "Invisible Hand" will dispense market justice regardless of what Uncle Sam's (or Goldman Sachs'?) minions do. Better to excise the cancers now and get on with rebuilding the economy, rather than to let the cancer spread further.


Gavshire,

I agree with you. How can the banks regain all they lost yesterday and in after hours...in 1 hour? Lucky I got out of my SKF without losing too much! Pretty incredible.


All will be well...in the Casino.


and get on with rebuilding the economy

Blood makes poor mortar.


"these companies are trading their own shares up amongst each other"
----------

Just like Japan.

http://www.stock-market-crash.net/nikkei.htm

"The keiretsu philosophy was one of cooperation, where all facets of business and government worked hand in hand. As the Japanese stock market soared, the keiretsu purchased each other's shares. "


The potential for a massive stock market over correction increases the longer it remains at these levels and the financial stocks continue to defy reality. MasterCard up 7% after Citi's massive increase yesterday in loan losses? WTF?


popeye has some worldly advice for all to heed. I'm frankly getting tired of flipping FAS and FAZ (today out of FAZ on open into FAS) with these small lot sizes however if you waited too long with FAZ today you have a decision to make about now. As far as the small lot sizes.....all my stomach can take at this point.

Ciao
MS


And yet the two largest leaders in "Selling on Strength" - QQQQ and AMZN - and in the number 6 position...C

http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-mflppg-moneyflow.html?mod=m...


Not that you will pay it back, but over how long? Long enough that inflation is your very very good friend? Thought so.

I don't think you'll be around that long.

--bh


look at any issuing firm's 8-K and start trying to figure out how they actually came up with the ends results. In WFC's case the amounts are laughable.....

+1 MS

Cheers!



changeling,
This is a pump job, and a damn fine one. Fundamentals went out the window a long time ago. And our government is complicit in the fraud. It was a casino when I was making money. And now it is a desperate, rigged casino.

Hey, but if you think that hourly swings of 5-10% on an entire sector are natural - you're entitled to your opinions.


Key part of his statement: "Once the economy recovers....."

EVERYONE will have strawberries and cream......


"""The keiretsu philosophy was one of cooperation, where all facets of business and government worked hand in hand. As the Japanese stock market soared, the keiretsu purchased each other's shares. ""

See market movement in 2007 for a great example of that. Only reason it got a whiff of anything over 14k...

Ciao
MS


Don't think I've ever seen RD say WTF.... sooner die.

Must be a real WTF.


IRA on Citi....

http://us1.institutionalriskanalytics.com/pub/IRAMain.asp

I hope the FDIC has been training hard. Citi is gonna be one big spicy burrito to swallow.


Whitehouse interns reportedly annoyed of Obama incessant singing to Geithner and Gang, "Here I am, signed, sealed, delivered, Im yours. Here I am baby Oh, youve got the future in your hand, signed, sealed delivered, Im yours!


Don't think I've ever seen RD say WTF.... sooner die.

Must be a real WTF.

Yeah, I was taken aback by that, as well. I didn't know RD was a potty mouth.


Oh....and there is nothing broken with the 'Casino'. The only standing rule one has to remember is that the house always wins. That seems to still be holding up just fine.


MS

Comment of the day.

Government and business working hand in hand. Only way to keep the lie alive...


Geithner Says `Vast Majority' of U.S. Banks Have More Capital Than Needed
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=azqWyof8VIRo&refer=home

"Currently, the vast majority of banks have more capital than they need to be considered well capitalized by their regulators," Geithner said in testimony to a congressional oversight panel on the government's financial-rescue program. He added that there will be a "series of options" for lenders deemed to need additional money at the conclusion of the tests.


Of course they will pay back by year 2015. Just like hobos will pay a bottle of moonshine, with the trillion dollar Obama note of 2012 with Obama himself the Dead President on it. (shot by some rightwingwhackjobredneck).


Poor Vikram didn't realize that the dance was actually a game of musical chairs, instead of the Hokey Pokey.


Poor is not a word I would use to describe Vikram.


Borocco Mama wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 9:54am.
All will be well...in the Casino.

Chauncey Gardner... is that you?


I like to watch, Krid.


Fundamentals went out the window a long time ago.

I would say about 30 years ago, when the LBO's invented about a billion ways to disgorge cash from a company without affecting earnings...


Based on Timmay's sunshine prophecy is any one still really wondering what these "tests" are going to show?

Not heavy into FAS...just a quick trade but soon it will be time to load it up for the coming PR exercise.

Ciao
MS


I *so* want to short GS, but it's like betting against yourself these days... those bad boys just take our own money to shore up the illusion, and the share price. Still, at this price, I'm tempted: can they levitate forever?


Mama: Poor is not a word I would use to describe Vikram.

I'm reminded of MP's suggestion that most of these bank execs will prefer to have been 7-11 clerks or some such. It may just cross their minds at some pt....


First you got to get mad!

---------------------
Chemical con-trails from Air Force spraying operations cause cancer and respiratory problems! Where are all the environmental wackos concerns? See; Killer Chemtrails: The Shocking Truth
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Psdg3OAw_a8&fe


Anak wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:04am.
Don't think I've ever seen RD say WTF.... sooner die.
Must be a real WTF.

In my defense recall that I watched the live feed of Timmay earlier today. Mrs. Dawg called out from the main house asking if that was me shouting. Yes, but at least I don't toss the rugby ball through the flat screen anymore. I'm a little like a slow mp/conjure on this issue. I know I don't understand the current market dynamics. I also know that this is because current dynamics are beyond analysis. What I don't know is when my ability to analyze will again become effective. I am not confused by an irrational market. Irrational markets are common. I am confused at how long and how much this market has remained irrational. Kurt Gödel had all this formalized 70 years ago. I merely take solace in having heeded; Keynes in his blind squirrel observation; "The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent."


An then what, Michael? Go shoot up, or bomb a school?


Kind of interesting how the banks started to rally exactly when Geithner was speaking....even though he really said nothing!

I think they're only protecting the banks as the other stocks only had residual rises. A strong message to bank shorts: "Don't screw with us! You'll just waste your time."


One of my favorite movies... watched it recently and it hasn't lost a thing... even better with age.


Thanks RD (RC). Beyond analysis indeed.

Just checking!


DC-

hear you there....that's one of the reasons that we have not seen mass protests. Think about it....anyone who doth protest is really asking for the deflation of there own assets. Sounds simplistic but the system has already decided that asset inflation is where we all "need to be".....actively protesting against it is sort of a zer0-sum game for anyone who thinks about it for any period of time. Don't get me wrong...there needs to be a general insurrection IMO however when the masses savings, retirement, etc. are all tied to the system re-inflating itself........

In any case that would also be giving the "masses" way too much credit to realize it. Since they all know what time "Idol" is on I don't want to be extending smarts to people who can't read a few things outside of the little world they live in.

Ciao
MS


Then you cop an attitude that you are in charge and never let that attitude go, because it's your money paying for the system and you want it fixed now!

---------------------
Chemical con-trails from Air Force spraying operations cause cancer and respiratory problems! Where are all the environmental wackos concerns? See; Killer Chemtrails: The Shocking Truth
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Psdg3OAw_a8&fe


krid wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:18am.
One of my favorite movies... watched it recently and it hasn't lost a thing... even better with age.

I like being there as well. Too bad the central character was white. [ducks]


I like being there as well. Too bad the central character was white. [ducks]

A beautiful sub-theme in that movie was that the poor black people knew the score. They were like "there goes stupid whitey again." And they were right......and here goes stupid whitey again.....but this time we let some blacks be part of the show because willful ignorance seeks the kindness of strangers.


Pandit = Lord Cutler Beckett, as his ship explodes around him: "It's just…good business…"


'I know I don't understand the current market dynamics.'

Strangely, most of the world beyond America's shores seem to have a fairly firm grasp of what is going on, but then, none of the U.S.'s financial engineering is actually innovative or original - it is merely a better way to hide corrupt and self-serving greed.

The only real difference being that some people actually thought the U.S. was different. Nope.

Whether you like it, it is a bankrupt nation - which means America has finally joined the club.


scone wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:25am.
Pandit = Lord Cutler Beckett, as his ship explodes around him: "It's just…good business…"

Pandit will be lucky to escape Lord Mountbatten's fate.


"is any one still really wondering what these "tests" are going to show?"
-------------

I think the percentage bet is *two* sets of stress tests because, after all, TPTB probably would like to know the true state of the banking system. That's what I'd do. A real test and then a massaged test for public consumption using an offset formula to show positive numbers.


Hey, but if you think that hourly swings of 5-10% on an entire sector are natural - you're entitled to your opinions.
It's not like nothing happened, $7B in bonds, Geithner reassurance, $5.5B to GM&C... plenty of excuses.


Give me a break. Pandit will make out like a Bandit. Wagoner resigned GM with more than 20 Million in his pocket. That's not chump change, by any means. There is no cause for concern for Pandit. He's just a well paid front man.


It's amazing that the current and past 535 congress bums et al and their families are the ultimate Welfare Queens living on the taxpayer dole. They're handing it out like lollipops to their spouses and buddies under the guise of abc's soup of TARP(Drunk subsidies, and no bid contracts. Selling our jobs and future labor to foreign rivals. Next, they have the audacity to tell the taxpayers that medicare, medicaid, and social security are in the shithole while they collect a life pension and free healthcare for life. They are a pustulous boil. Pustulous boils cannot live without a host, but the host can live without a boil. Lance the sucker off.


Plus 1 for Dawg...

I gave up earlier this year......I still dabble with small lot sizes because if you walk away from it for any period of time you're going to be lost (not that we aren't now... but more so).

I've taken a few trips in the last two months and have struggled to keep up with the daily amount of information I need to parse through. Only really feel "caught up" at night......just a function of daily market hours though.

Ciao
MS


Anonymous wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:27am.
Most of the world beyond America's shores seem to have a fairly firm grasp of what is going on, but then, none of the U.S.'s financial engineering is actually innovative or original - it is merely a better way to hide corrupt and self-serving greed. The only real difference being that some people actually thought the U.S. was different. Nope. Whether you like it, it is a bankrupt nation - which means America has finally joined the club.

Snigger. Just keep telling yourself that while Germany reports 5.9% contraction Q1 '09.

The US is so far from bankrupt the rest of your bile deserves no response. "The US is no different." How has that worked out for the several dozen powers who decided to test that theory in the last two centuries?


mama, yer hopeless: "There is no cause for concern for Pandit. He's just a well paid front man."

But Pavel doesn't get here until later, and I'm just not up to it.


Yeah, dude, we'll bomb you back to the stone ages.


"I am confused at how long and how much this market has remained irrational."

Rob, irrational markets can change for several reasons. For investors, I find the following paper quite good.

Losing Money on Arbitrage

"ABSTRACT
In theory, an investor can make infinite profits by taking unlimited positions
in an arbitrage. In reality, however, investors must satisfy margin
requirements which completely change the economics of arbitrage. We
derive the optimal investment policy for a risk-averse investor in a market
where there are arbitrage opportunities. We show that it is often
optimal to underinvest in the arbitrage by taking a smaller position than
margin constraints allow. In some cases, it is actually optimal for an
investor to walk away from a pure arbitrage opportunity. Even when the
optimal policy is followed, the arbitrage strategy may underperform the
riskless asset or have an unimpressive Sharpe ratio. Furthermore, the
arbitrage portfolio typically experiences losses at some point before the
final convergence date. These results have important implications for the
role of arbitrageurs in financial markets." http://repositories.cdlib.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1260&context=a...


mama, yer hopeless: "There is no cause for concern for Pandit. He's just a well paid front man."

No, yer hopeless. You think there's justice to be had? That's BBAD talk.


Fast and furious typos correction the host "cannot" live without the boil


Pandit will be lucky to escape Lord Mountbatten's fate. - RD

I don't know, if assassination were in the picture, somebody would have tried it by now. Pirates and banksters seem to be the theme of this movie. Come to think of it, the East India Company started this whole global banking thing...


CR,
You really should filter out 'threats' to bloggers on your site. I took pictures of all the threats to find my location and send someone after me.


Werner already showed his ass last night. Werner, I don't care if your Daddy died in the Falise pocket from US artillery. Your mama married a US Army officer for a reason. It paid for your school. You worked in America how many years? I know it grated listening to people calling you a Nazi, especially as you were not old enough to join the party. I know your Uncles were. But that was then - this is now

Now you are a bitter hater with a grudge who can't get over your rather average past.

http://afterthecrash.net - Home of the Doomer Story Portal and Other Stuff


Oh hell got it wrong. Ignore me, it's time for my nap.


scone wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:40am.
Pandit will be lucky to escape Lord Mountbatten's fate. - RD
I don't know, if assassination were in the picture, somebody would have tried it by now.

The "Irish Problem" took generations to boil over. Things happen faster these days.


mama: I never counted on justice.

All i'd ask is focus on BB and less on AD is all. Might serve the guy next to you better, and yerself.


Probably idle threats but it still shoud not be tolerated. You also tolerate a lot of personal attacks on your blog. This is not productive to any discussion either.


Probably idle threats but it still shoud not be tolerated. You also tolerate a lot of personal attacks on your blog. This is not productive to any discussion either.


Probably idle threats but it still shoud not be tolerated. You also tolerate a lot of personal attacks on your blog. This is not productive to any discussion either.


I vaguely remember talking to Pandit at some Columbia B school function a few years back,
he was with some other sycophants... full of himself, laughed at own self-perceived wit and
had quite a pricey set of duds on...

here's my vid mash-up I did on Citigroup last Novmber... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pPfbXFf4g2k
3,000 hits is good for a bank without nudity,,,,

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pPfbXFf4g2k

now... back to the slog!


I don't know, if assassination were in the picture, somebody would have tried it by now.

Madoff's still alive -- go figure.

-----

"Hope for the best, prepare for the worst"


Also for Rob,

Irrational markets can stay that way for a long time. Change is often brought about by their being no additional leverage and no new suckers betting. This is especially prominent in markets where there is no practical way to short, like housing. In such markets, the price is set by the most optimistic participant who either has money, or can borrow money.

In stock markets, the contraction of credit commonly takes valuations down to lower levels. Recessions change both expectations and the amount of available credit.

Regulatory and tax changes often make a difference. This is especially prominent when something is overvalued because it doesn't have a collateral requirement.

Of course, markets often change when unrealistic expectations do not match up with reality. Unemployment is higher, the recession lasts longer, etc. What is often thought to be a change in expectations is actually a change in who still has money. If the irrational investors are finally running out of money or getting margin calls, other people's opinions start to influence the market much more.


Vikram?

Did the St. Louis and Minnesota franchises merge?


I really don't see the personal threats tolerated on any of the other econ blog.


the star.com
http://www.thestar.com/news/ontario/article/621617
"It's up to travellers to do "due diligence" by checking out companies like now-defunct Conquest Vacations before booking, says the cabinet minister under fire for gaps in consumer protection for tourists."
-I've been following this , happy to see someone is thinking. If you Canucks want to get on your high horses-go to Jamaica or the Bahamas-beautiful area, rich culture. We have Jamaicans living here. The areas could use the tourism, been there. I'm not aware anyone here wants to kick Canuck butt, unless we are talking soccer or hockey then I seriously suggest we do so.

Again more thinking, nice to see:
Politico
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0409/21245.html
Ron Paul's plan to fend off pirates
"Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and a growing number of national security experts are calling on Congress to consider using letters of marque and reprisal, a power written into the Constitution that allows the United States to hire private citizens to keep international waters safe. "

-Also , I eats me spinach: http://www.usmma.edu/


Repay TARP debt WITH TARP funding.....Hilarious!


The garden will be healthy.


OT / about Wal-Mart and their troubles with unions in China http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124031218556438767.html
that's a new one on me... unions in a communist country? they don't exist in Vietnam or the old USSR or Cuba or North Korea,
damn where's EHP or Counterpointer when you need 'em most?


Interesting; volume is higher today - both NYSE and NAZ.

.............................

If you don't take your profits, someone else will.


Timothy Geithner wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:54am.
The garden will be healthy.

All i ever wanted to do was to write a screen play. I have yet to hit the big time, but I still feel like I owe you guys someting.


some investor guy (member) wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:46am.
Also for Rob,
Irrational markets can stay that way for a long time. Change is often brought about by their being no additional leverage and no new suckers betting.

Agreed. The issue is the constantly changing rules and releveraging by the Federal Government. Calvinball is no longer a joke but an aspect of modern investing.


" uno mundo wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:47am.

I really don't see the personal threats tolerated on any of the other econ blog."

Can we PLEASE get an ignore feature on these comments, guys like this are making this sound like a Yahoo message board.


ooopppssss - source:
http://sharkinvesting.com/volume.aspx

.............................

If you don't take your profits, someone else will.


Well, great... if they can pay it back and they're turning profits, then they obviously don't need any of these taxpayer-funded liquidity supports, so we can just shut all those down too. And since we're in recovery mode, those Frannie MBSs can stand on their own two pins now. And there's no need to support AIG's counterparties anymore.

It's a great moment in sport, people. I'm weeping with the emotion of the moment.


Rob Dawg (member) wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:35am.
Anonymous wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:27am.
Whether you like it, it is a bankrupt nation - which means America has finally joined the club...

------------.
Snigger. Just keep telling yourself that while Germany reports 5.9% contraction Q1 '09.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
C'mon , you can't be serious ! How can you try to refute Anonymous/10:27am claim that "America is bankrupt" with a reference to Germany's GDP (which btw. is "faaar better" than your's) ?

What kind of logic is it to refute the claim rhat nation A is bankrupt with a reference to nations B GDP ? You need to be showmaster on CNN !

Furtermore you seem to miss the origin of Germany's current woes . (hint : that mess did not originate in Frankfurt or Berlin) .

Get real !!


Anonymous wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:08am.

Geithner Says `Vast Majority' of U.S. Banks Have More Capital Than Needed
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=azqWyof8VIRo&refer=home

"Currently, the vast majority of banks have more capital than they need to be considered well capitalized by their regulators," Geithner said in testimony to a congressional oversight panel on the government's financial-rescue program.

You might, from the headline, think that Geithner was saying that the banks have enough capital to operate effectively and safely. Only when you get to the text of the article would you discover that he was really only saying that they have enough to capital to be considered well capitalized by their regulators.

But who actually reads the articles? Everyone's just watching the headlines scroll by on Bloomberg TV.


From TickerForum:

PRICE OF TOXIC ASSETS

To all those in the .gov and Main Street Media that continually talk about the inability to price the toxic assets, here is an update on where things are trading. First off Billions of bonds are out for the bid weekly, the market is well defined based upon the following factors:
1)year of origination
2)type of collateral
3)subordination, or lack there-of

Option Arms, the senior classes 05 thru 07 trade from low $30's to high $30's. Mezz trade from teens to $20's, junior mezz trade in the high single digits.
Alt-A (~10-20% 60+ day delinquent) trade from high $30's for 07 production, to around $60 for the best quality '05 production.
Alt-A (~30-40% 60+ delinquencies) trade low 30's to mid $40's for Senior tranches.
Alt-A subordinated tranches trade teens to upper $20's.
Prime (5-10% 60+ delinquent) mid 50's to high 60's for seniors.
Prime (0-5% 60+ delinquent) mid 60's to upper 90's for the cleanest paper.

Just a sample of what the bonds that are on the books of the Banks, Insurance Companies, Pension Funds are worth.


Werner wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:58am.
What kind of logic is it to refute the claim rhat nation A is bankrupt with a reference to nations B GDP ?

Keynes is dead but DeToucville persists.


Here is Hoenigs hole testimony

Fed's Hoenig: "Too Big to Fail" a Farce

http://www.kc.frb.org/speechbio/hoenigpdf/Hoenig.Testimony.04.21.09.pdf


Citi--If we can make it there, we can make it anywhere



ghostfaceinvestah,
So you think threats on blogs are OK.
I'm just saying I don't think they should be tolerated.
What do you think CR?


What kind of logic is it to refute the claim rhat nation A is bankrupt with a reference to nations B GDP ? You need to be showmaster on CNN !
Vet good point. Western European industrial Democracies, Especially Germany, France, Netherlands and the Scandinavian Countries actually had to play with a real economic model, and didn't get the free ride the US got with the dollar.
France has handled the current situation extremely well, and case can be made to outsource all economic and political decisions to the French.


WM in China:

I'm far from EHP or CBR, but I'm up late until the better half shuts off the juice:

the quote from the Manchurian official tells me that in order to open in this last bastion place WM had to give some major concessions. Don't thing it's the same thoughtout China. There may be party secretaries everywhere, but the show must go on.

There are no local retail concerns in China that operate under the constraints that foreign ones do, and the peculiar challenges of WM in China are indicative of very little.

Opening retail as opposed to where the Duke is would be like opening in Fargo next to fifith avenue. Many retailers open in China simply to rent the space for a billboard. WM is not one of those, so the particulars of this labor case, while tedious, bear attention. But little more


Does the 5.5 to GM / Chrysler mean they're not going to declare bankruptcy in the near term? I mean, there's no way the USG is stupid enough to give them that money if they are going bankrupt, right?


Rob Dawg (member) wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 11:03am.
Werner wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:58am.
What kind of logic is it to refute the claim rhat nation A is bankrupt with a reference to nations B GDP ?
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Keynes is dead but DeToucville persists.
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Is that supposed to be an answer ?
This is even more sidestepping than Pavel's answer were ! Haha.


Bank Regulator: "Lets see what capital you have."

Vikram Pandit: "Here it is."

Bank Regulator: "Are those frozen squirrels?"

Vikram Pandit: "Uh, maybe...."

Bank Regulator: "Looks good to me!"


Kunstler:

I'm hardly the first observer to note that Mr. Obama's actions in the face of an epochal finance fiasco and economic collapse are a mere extension of the pre-January-20 policies, carried out by much the same cast of characters.

This was a dumb strategy for such a supposedly bright group of people surrounding Mr. Obama. That old economy was dead on arrival January 20th. Even the kindest physicians don't put corpses on life support.

http://jameshowardkunstler.typepad.com/

-----

"Hope for the best, prepare for the worst"


The "Irish Problem" took generations to boil over. Things happen faster these days. - RD

Not the same thing at all. There's no racial component here.

It would be easy to get too caught up in the daily kerfluffle, as everyone has an incentive to grab eyeballs by making the news cycle as emotional and dramatic as possible. What's going on now is infotainment, not history. And you may be surprised at how boringly non-violent it all turns out to be-- more of a long, slow grind toward a rather dull and humdrum future, I suspect.


"It's extremely dangerous and a situation that's really not been addressed by the U.S. authorities."
Simon Johnson is incorrect here. The situation has, in fact, been CREATED by US authorities; they did so when they decided to pretend that these were solvent businesses. Zombies make big, slow, helpless targets.

Timmy is still talking about 'hard to price' assets. He drifts away from reality; probably shaking his fist at the law of gravity, too.


O/T :
There was another hearing before the Joint Economic Committee where Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City chief Thomas Hoenig argued that "insolvent firms must be allowed to fail regardless of their size, market position or the complexity of operations."
Haven't found the video yet , but this (http://www.housingwire.com/2009/04/21/feds-hoenig-too-big-to-fail-a-farce/) contains a link to Hoenig's introductory remarks ! Very blunt and candid .


mark wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 11:08am.
Does the 5.5 to GM / Chrysler mean they're not going to declare bankruptcy in the near term? I mean, there's no way the USG is stupid enough to give them that money if they are going bankrupt, right?

Haha, are you sure ?
(and btw. this is not Bush's government anymore but Obama's .)


Journalists all over the world trying to do their job of reporting are emotionally or physically threatened. Free speech should be tolerated in a democracy. But if free speech can be mislabeled as hate speech, the attempt to find out what's going on will be crushed by the 'chilling effect'. Nuff said.


NEW POST at Calculated Risk.

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Ken:

Please?


"(and btw. this is not Bush's government anymore but Obama's .)"

It may be at the top of the list however you sort of don't factor in the 8 year's he had to appoint many stooges into positions that do not change when the president moves on.

Try a google of "Liberty University"

plenty of Bush stooges' left.....meet the new boss...same as the old boss.

Ciao
MS


Oh say can you C, by the dawn's early light,
What so proudly we bailed at the twilight's last gleaming?


PPT arrived on time.


Hey rps,
long time since you posted, or that I saw a post from you. How are things on the ground where you are?...like to hear your take on things. Thanks.


Rob Dawg,
the economic contraction in Germany in Q1 is striking, as is their rising unemployment rate, but their falling tax revenues are another bombshell.


'Snigger. Just keep telling yourself that while Germany reports 5.9% contraction Q1 '09.'

You honestly believe only 5.9%? You do know that orders for many of the leading export categories have fallen by 50% or more, right? That many municipalities are staring at major, major collapses in tax revenue? I have been talking to people here for several years about how this collapse will be much deeper and faster than they can imagine - just recently, Zetsche actually agreed that Mercedes should have reacted more forcefully in the summer, back when I was writing the same thing here, saying that Mercedes was deluding itself. We have customers going bankrupt (ERP software is a German invented software category), or who have seen their orders fall 90% in less than a month.

It is a global economic collapse. Why do you think in such binary terms?

But America is bankrupt in a very public fashion, going ever deeper into debt it will never be able to repay, public and private. It isn't just a few posters here that have recognized that fact.

And bankrupt has so many different meanings - for example, where are the American ideas to solve its problems? America has been very free for decades telling others how to solve their problems, and now?

Germany will suffer, but the odds of that pain being spread more fairly is much higher here. Germany doesn't really need to rebuild much infrastructure - it hasn't been neglected for a generation. And it doesn't really have to rebuild its industrial base - it still has one. And it doesn't have to train a competent work force of people with skills - it has one.

My not so bold prediction is that the German economy will contract more than anticipated. Big deal - that statement applies to pretty much the whole world.

But try to understand that when the rest of the world looks at the U.S., they no longer see the Hollywood facade, and what is now no longer possible to deny looks like a bankrupt nation, not simply financially, but ethically. Do you think blame is something that only gets assigned in blog comments? And keep in mind that the world knows the difference between a creditor and a debtor. A bankrupt nation is one that needs external funding to keep itself running in its accustomed fashion- sound familiar?


CR,
Please


MS wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 11:29am.
"(and btw. this is not Bush's government anymore but Obama's .)"
--------------
It may be at the top of the list however you sort of don't factor in the 8 year's he had to appoint many stooges into positions that do not change when the president moves on.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
So the 8 year's of Bush government obliges Obama to give GM / Chrysler another $5.5 billion ? Right . Impressive "change, yes we can" !


REnt to own,
is there some reason you choose to hide behind "anonymous"...your long-winded posts are so easy to identify....are you ashamed of your own opinions?


'as is their rising unemployment rate'

Yes, unlike the U.S., - 'The US unemployment rate reached 8.5 percent, its highest level in a quarter-century, ... 663000 Jobs Lost in March.' http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/04/business/economy/04jobs.html?hp (Just the Google summary, actually, is quoted.)

In contrast with the unemployment disaster happening here - 'Germany's unemployment rate rose to 8.6% in March as the global economic downturn continued to tighten its grip on Europe's largest economy.

The rate rose slightly from 8.5% in February, on an unadjusted basis.

In seasonally adjusted terms, the rate rose to 8.1% from 8%, official figures also showed. This equates to 3.4 million people, an increase of 69,000. '

Hmm - depending on your number, the U.S. actually does manage to squeak out a victory in that unemployment column.

And remember, the German rate is not distorted by having the world's largest prison population (bankrupt is such a varied concept), and its unemployment rate is measured by including anyone who is currently working 15 hours or less a week, but who wants full time employment. The German rate is currently around 7.5%, by that measure (actually, 7.1%). I will let the various 'U' experts here compare and contrast.

If I was to have a tag line (thankfully, most people have not adopted that habit), it would be along the lines of 'What part of global economic collapse can't you understand?'


fried (member) wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 11:34am.
Rob Dawg,
the economic contraction in Germany in Q1 is striking, as is their rising unemployment rate, but their falling tax revenues are another bombshell.

Hahaha , always good to see the "doomsday predictions" of some bankrupt Americans about Germany . Delicious !

Ahh , remember these hilarious predictions (made here on this blog by some to-be-unnamed posters about the pending desaster at Deutsche Bank ? Hahaha ,I am still waiting for DB to achieve a loss at least as large as e.g. Ford . How long do I still have to wait for DB to blow up ?

How do Americans call people who , after having made horrendously wrong predictions , just continue making ludicrous predictions ?


Nope - I am thrilled to no longer have to use cookies, turn Javascript on and off, and quite honestly, the idea of always having to provide an identity is getting onerous, to put it mildly.


Blunt and candid is useful . The majority of people are not afraid of "the truth", they have been living with it , it is right in front of them - day in and day out, it is all the lying.
You know on the political end, I think that this idea: classical liberalism has lost it's meaning. Too many economic Randians on the hard left and hard right dinosaurs who are eating mammals.
If you want to promote an idea join the Peace Corp, in the eastern region we live closely together, we attempt , struggle with it :socialization. We don't mouth off about ideas and then hide behind armed security details , climb into our SUVs and pull into gated high security homes or communities.


Ooops - scratch this line 'The German rate is currently around 7.5%, by that measure (actually, 7.1%).' Those are my remembered figures for Baden-Württemberg, before actually checking Google - no javascript means no running preview underneath, either - a more than acceptable trade-off.


Anonymous wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 11:41am.
...My not so bold prediction is that the German economy will contract more than anticipated. Big deal - that statement applies to pretty much the whole world...

I beg to differ . Such a statement does not apply to pretty much the whole world . It is pure crap !
..."more than anticipated"... By whom ? By the cow on the pasture over there ? Or that famous cow that structured these CDOs which S&P then rated AAA ? This is just crap american lingo (and is very indicative of their .... culture) !


Magical Thinking (member) wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 12:04pm.
Blunt and candid is useful . The majority of people are not afraid of "the truth", they have been living with it , it is right in front of them - day in and day out, it is all the lying.

Amen !


uno mundo wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 1:03am.

I'm feeling like if you were on a barstool next to me, I'd have to take a chance kicking your ass cause you are egging for a fight. Isn't this silly namecaller. What. No rational discussion. Just proved my whole thesis tonight again!

uno mundo wrote on Tue, 04/21/2009 - 10:41am.

CR,
You really should filter out 'threats' to bloggers on your site. I took pictures of all the threats to find my location and send someone after me.

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Done