Comments for "Record Unemployment Rates in California and North Carolina"


Employment is overrated.


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10% of the workforce in California is Illegal Aliens/Undocumented Workers/Non-Citizen Individuals/However you want to call them. We have gone on importing slaves to artificially lower the standard of living and social security of our working classes until they can no longer support the weight of the pyramid capstone that rules them. Any of us get uppity and they'll start an H1-B visa campaign and pretend that there's a "shortage" in order to create a huge surplus.

-------

http://www.afterthecrash.net - After the Crash, a blog shared by the CR Commenting Community. Hoopajoop on over.


CNBC Green shoots. Lagging indicator ?

These UE rates will certainly lead to SHOOT(ing)


Thats why South Carolina seceded from North Carolina...


What green shoots and leaves?

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http://www.afterthecrash.net - After the Crash, a blog shared by the CR Commenting Community. Hoopajoop on over.


So there will be lots of cheap and well-qualified labor for the recovery!!! Rally on!


As long as the banks are doing fine...


Gosh, a bad thing for which Florida is not listed.

I feel all warm and fuzzy inside.

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


GH, reluctantly agree that employment is over-rated (I've always been good at making virtue of necessity).

Also could add that it has been a while since we've been treated to a call from the favorite "sun" of the Carolinas, Sebastian. Are there any states, or counties, that have held their job numbers? If there were a way to spin the numbers to make it so, you can bet we'd read all about it on yahoo finance.


Hoops, you are sounding like ddg.

Are the illegals going home? And lowering remittances?

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


Know of many people getting laid off here in the Bay Area. Good news is about 1/5ths of the jobs are in India now. So US exports are still healthy.


Hoops, do I detect some tin-foil hattery?

Nay, our beloved leaders would never, ever do something like that...

All is double plus good.

homedad43


The Zombie Apocalypse is coming sooner rather than later!

--
The Zombie Apocalypse begins when U3 hits 15%


No matter. As long as they have credit cards...

Repeated from dead thread, better here:

More adverse scenario U-3 Q1 '09: 7.9%
Real U-3 Q1 '09: 8.5%
Hope is not a stress test input variable.


More good news is that the unemployed are liquidating their stocks and savings now while they still have some value.


Fla hired JPM to supervise some unemployment claims work.

They promply outsourced it to India.

Fla is very peeved.

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


Are the illegals going home? And lowering remittances?

I don't care what they're doing; if they're living among us like second class citizens and slaves it is absolutely unacceptable on a humanitarian level, and bad for our society. They're the "enemy combatants" of our workforce, in kind of a gray, quasi-legal classification of at-will enforcement that is easily exploited by companies looking for pliant workers who will look the other way. Maybe the company wants to use them in unsafe conditions, which is sad but which some libertarian types might applaud is market forces at work. Ask those same libertarians if they're cool with people who are afraid to come to the authorities when they watch dead rats getting ground up into the machines at their peanut butter plant. We need to stop relying on slave labor.

-------

http://www.afterthecrash.net - After the Crash, a blog shared by the CR Commenting Community. Hoopajoop on over.


lawyerliz..

Article in Time says illegals are staying put...

http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1890404,00.html


Who is ddg, I'm unfamiliar with those initials.

-------

http://www.afterthecrash.net - After the Crash, a blog shared by the CR Commenting Community. Hoopajoop on over.


Hey has anyone seen Chris aka Cobradriver around lately?


Liz,

Table A. States with unemployment rates significantly differ-
ent from that of the U.S., March 2009, seasonally adjusted
--------------------------------------------------------------
State | Rate(p)
--------------------------------------------------------------
United States (1) ...................| 8.5
|
Arkansas ............................| 6.5
California ..........................| 11.2
Colorado ............................| 7.5
Connecticut .........................| 7.5
Delaware ............................| 7.7
District of Columbia ................| 9.8
Florida .............................| 9.7
Hawaii ..............................| 7.1
Idaho ...............................| 7.0
Indiana .............................| 10.0

.............................

If you don't take your profits, someone else will.


Fla a mere 9.7%. We tend to have fewer illegals, because if you are a Cuban and you get here, you are legal. I don't understand why the other latinos don't just say they are Cuban?

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.



Mr anti-immigrant duckduckgoose.

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


Entering double digitis... next stop: Teens !


This is what happens when they spend a lifetime misallocating their resources.

They should have done the smart thing and donated more to their congress critters, less to Best Buy and bartenders.

So now they've got blue skies and more time to mall shop and home buy.


Where are those 4 million jobs Nobama said he was going to save? The other 160 million jobs are getting nervous...


Hoopajoops LTD (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 8:47am.
Who is ddg, I'm unfamiliar with those initials.

"duck duck goose" or "dk" or 9 other handles.

The guy that's always going on and on about how the whole RE crisis was caused by loans to illegals. Notably silent now that Prime mortage deliquencies are starting to spike.


Pardon me if this has been posted already:

Wall Street's stunning six-week rally has been fed more by traders looking to take advantage of quick swings in the market than investors with a long-term view, NYSE Euronext (NYSE:NYX - News) CEO Duncan Niederauer told CNBC.

Because of that, the rally likely is to run out of steam as low volume eventually comes back to the bite the market, he said.

"It feels to me we're in a trader's market and not an investor's market," Niederauer said in a live interview from the exchange floor.

Markets are likely to near their March lows after an upswing that has sent the major indexes more than 20 percent higher, he said.

"The volume in March hasn't convinced me that it's the kind of volume that you need to see to believe it was the real beginning of a turnaround," he said. "Instincts tell me we're going to retrace one more time and the rally I believe is the summer rally."

Traders, Not Investors, Fueling This Stock Rally: NYSE Chief


Who is ddg, I'm unfamiliar with those initials.

duck duck goose


duck duck goose


lawyerlizinMI (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 8:43am.
Are the illegals going home? And lowering remittances?

Last figures I saw were like Q3 '08 and down 30-40%. Gee, and you wonder why there's social unrest in the Mexican countryside? And did everyone notice the sense of urgency Obama had visiting Mexico City? The devolution in the border towns to feudalism?

It's going to be real hard to stare across the Rio Grande at millions of starving refugees and do nothing. Hey Houston! Ready for Katrina victims x 20 and no English?


Also, as I' ve posted before, I'm sure the off the books employment is quite large, tho anecdotal evidence suggests it is getting smaller--lots of formerly full, now empty small warehouse space.

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


Mr anti-immigrant duckduckgoose.

Oh, the difference between me and DDG is a) DDG brings up illegal immigration when the thread is about corporate refinancing bond rates and b) DDG is a single issue kind of guy, whereas my ojbection to illegal immigration is like a single tile in a larger, rich mosaic of objections which comprise the larger picture of corporate oligarch interests oppressing the citizenry and hijacking the machinery of our government.

Also, I think DDG hates brown people.

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http://www.afterthecrash.net - After the Crash, a blog shared by the CR Commenting Community. Hoopajoop on over.


Pretty soon there will be more public sector jobs than private sector jobs in CA... oh well better raise those income taxes


Remember the story a couple weeks ago, after we'd rallied about 15% and the financials were blasting off, the somebody had made a huge block trade of April expiring XLF calls? I'm thinking those guys have very deep pockets, and they're getting deeper. Is Opex the culmination of the rally, and they've been protecting their positions with program trading?

I'm wondering if the banks were actually shorting the market in Feb/early March, explaining a portion of the trading gains, then went long through April knowing that they could manipulate the accounting and show trading profits?

Or maybe I'm trying to find reason in a market that has none, or is driven by emotion?


I'd like to thank everyone here for supporting the Zombie Apocalypse. We're making great progress towards 15% UE, and if I could just get a few more pledges from you to layoff workers we'll reach that number in no time at all.

--
The Zombie Apocalypse begins when U3 hits 15%


"emphasis added, records started in 1976."

Wow, this is starting to be some serious shit, isn't it? Economists need at least data starting from 300 B.C. to actually predict or admit anything. Just look at the monthly unemployment number guessing bonanza, coming from the Ministry of BulLShit Information.

The number is actually called WN, the Wrong Number. If the economists predict the WN "right", the stock markets will rise. If it is unexpected, the stock market will decline or rise if there is a big layoff announcement from big US corporation within the same day. Because firing a lot of workers is good for business, right? And of course months later comes the "a little bit revised", "normalized and revised" and then finally, the "buttugly fucking revised aka the truth" number.


Rob Dawg (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 8:52am.
It's going to be real hard to stare across the Rio Grande at millions of starving refugees and do nothing.

Are you talking about the Mexicans or the Americans doing the looking?


Are you talking about the Mexicans or the Americans doing the looking?

It'll be kind of a staring contest on both sides, I think.

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http://www.afterthecrash.net - After the Crash, a blog shared by the CR Commenting Community. Hoopajoop on over.


Anonymous wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 8:54am.
Rob Dawg (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 8:52am.
It's going to be real hard to stare across the Rio Grande at millions of starving refugees and do nothing.
Are you talking about the Mexicans or the Americans doing the looking?

Caught that did you? Wink


Well, my ancestors came here from somewhere else, and so did everybody else's except those who trace their ancestors to back to before Columbus. So I agree with Hoops to a certain extent, but I can't find any justification ethically to keeping the newbies out.

I guess the Darwinian solution is to make is very hard to get here, and kick out the one who get caught promptly, thus selecting for the determined and resourceful.

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


GH

I know for a fact that the banks were heavy buyers of SRS and SKF back in July 08. I wouldn't be suprised if they were buying calls on XLF. Pump their stocks before the capital raises Ala GS


It's going to be real hard to stare across the Rio Grande at millions of starving refugees and do nothing.

Are you talking about the Mexicans or the Americans doing the looking?

A Mexican Standoff of sorts?


Any predictions for BFF, seeing as how BankU apparently has another 2-3 weeks?

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


Mexico's problems are just beginning. Just wait until they become a net importer of oil within 5 years.


If SPG breaks 50, I'm tempted to put my entire trading account into July expiring $45 puts. Somebody provided the set, and I want the spike. I'm thinking those will return 300%, minimum. Or will I get an even better price later?

Somebody please talk me out of this...


" Hoopajoops LTD (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 8:46am.

Are the illegals going home? And lowering remittances?

I don't care what they're doing; if they're living among us like second class citizens and slaves it is absolutely unacceptable on a humanitarian level, and bad for our society. They're the "enemy combatants" of our workforce, in kind of a gray, quasi-legal classification of at-will enforcement that is easily exploited by companies looking for pliant workers who will look the other way. Maybe the company wants to use them in unsafe conditions, which is sad but which some libertarian types might applaud is market forces at work. Ask those same libertarians if they're cool with people who are afraid to come to the authorities when they watch dead rats getting ground up into the machines at their peanut butter plant. We need to stop relying on slave labor. "

I live in a "liberal" enclave which also depends on such slave labor to build houses, do landscaping, cook restaurant meals, do janitorial work, drive the delivery trucks, etc., etc., etc. The city council power structure is mainly white, of course, because although Latinos make up 25 percent plus of the community they either have an illegal in the family or are illegal themselves, and thus keep their heads down and don't cause trouble. They've largely displaced the white working class, which left town when real estate prices got too high.

So now we have a disenfranchised working class, and a white, monied, privileged liberal class which has just spent a lot of time and energy subsidizing a housing development for low-income _artists._ Because they didn't care when the white workers left town, but they _do_ want to keep the white artists.

Having a subservient, powerless workforce is bad for society -- and more directly, bad for democracy.


Remember that disaster movie where the problem was global freezing and there was a brief shot of Americans dashing to the warmer south?? A nice touch.

Also, our heros were trapped in a room in the New York library with a working fireplace, and the first thing they burned was the tax code?

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


Chris Thornberg over at Beacon Economics has a good table & visual display of unemployment for California broken down by category and county, When the California report is released by the EDD I always check the site:

http://www.bewebstats.com/EmploymentReport/

Off Topic I posted how many trustee sales have happened so far this month last night for Los Angeles and Ventura County:
http://effectivedemand.blogspot.com/2009/04/trustee-sales-for-la-and-ven...


'We need to stop relying on slave labor.'

Chinese exports to America are trending the right way then.


I don't understand why the other latinos don't just say they are Cuban?

lawyerliz-
.
Because the accent is quite different. As soon as they start talking, you can tell. Also, often they look different, and act different, because the ethnic mix and culture is not the same. It's probably more obvious to me, in Oregon, because we don't get Cubans here every day, and they really stand out. BTW, I hear Obama is lifting some travel restrictions there.


"Well, my ancestors came here from somewhere else, and so did everybody else's except those who trace their ancestors to back to before Columbus. So I agree with Hoops to a certain extent, but I can't find any justification ethically to keeping the newbies out."

Mine came through the front door the legal way. Big difference!


Yeah, Mexicans and Colombians speak much better
Spanish.

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


My came when it was super easy to get here. Not the same thing at all.

One branch was here well before the Civil War, before that, lost in the midst of antiquity.

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


Take out the probably, makes me sound wishy washy.

Dr Hfuhruhurr

HAL : I'm afraid. I'm afraid, Dave. Dave, my mind is going. (CHONG : Dave's not here.)


Hoopajoops LTD (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 8:40am.

You need to go to

1. www.numbersusa.com

2. www.fairus.org

and get involved in stopping illegal immigration and tidal wave of family based legal immigration (if you haven't already)

Immigration is fine if it respects and benefits BOTH immigrants and citizens. Right now I think the net affect on citizens is negative and certainly is negative on the environment. With 1 + million plus legal immigrants a year the USA will never be energy independent., and our quality of life will decline with increasingly crowded spaces.


Wall Street's stunning six-week rally has been fed more by traders looking to take advantage of quick swings in the market than investors with a long-term view.

And the momentum traders were piling on the way down as well, accelerating the decline. Question is trying to figure out what at what level a fundamental decay would be at.

I'm wondering if the banks were actually shorting the market in Feb/early March, explaining a portion of the trading gains

No doubt. The CDS that JPM sold in Feb/Mar during nationalizaton-mania must be golden now... and their CDS exposure is what? BAC is up for monday morning, and i think that they pull a WFC-sized bogus number. this afternoon should be interesting.


Remember the story a couple weeks ago, after we'd rallied about 15% and the financials were blasting off, the somebody had made a huge block trade of April expiring XLF calls? I'm thinking those guys have very deep pockets, and they're getting deeper. Is Opex the culmination of the rally, and they've been protecting their positions with program trading?

Ding ding ding! We have a winner!

And I too need someone to talk me out of going all-in on the short side/puts


But the Cubans have better music. And fashion sense.


"Well, my ancestors came here from somewhere else, and so did everybody else's except those who trace their ancestors to back to before Columbus. So I agree with Hoops to a certain extent, but I can't find any justification ethically to keeping the newbies out."

unless you live in africa your ancestors came from somewhere else ...


GH- SPG was selling on strength.....adds to argument for

http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-mflppg-moneyflow.html?mod=m...

_______________________________________________________________________________________

I emptied my bank account so the bastards can't use it. Being in debt is like diving with great white sharks.


Any predictions for BFF, seeing as how BankU apparently has another 2-3 weeks?

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.

Georgia on my mind


I'm tempted to put my entire trading account into..... please talk me out of this...

Never ever bet it all. Absolutely always assume you may be mistaken. Beyond that, I can't help you much except to point to your own remarks re: bank bets and everybody else's comments noting the distinct odor of fish.

Good luck.

.............................

If you don't take your profits, someone else will.


Illegal immigration is no different then having no lock on your homes front door and allowing any and all kinds of people enter. Would you allow that? If so please post your address and expect many for dinner.


Yeah, better get rid of that H1-B visa program now. Have to stop that flow of foreign born engineers into the country, otherwise they'll continue to do untold damage by continuing to found 50% of all silicon valley start-ups.


William Grave wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 9:00am.
Mexico's problems are just beginning. Just wait until they become a net importer of oil within 5 years.

They don't have an economy that can support the importation of oil. Besides, they don't have 5 years. Social strains are tearing them apart sooner than later. For the last 30 years the US was a safety valve for dissatisfied workers and a source of remittances that kept the countryside from collapsing. Their oil exports paid for enough to keep their cities working. Triple hit; increasing dissatisfied population stuck in Mexico, falling remittances and oil revenue bust. I'm not being tinfoil when I say there is only one way out; revolution. With that comes the interesting question of the US response. No doubt humanitarian in country aid. I'd also suggest that US privatization of their petroleum industry will be part of the price. Land reform is likely as well. At the low end a "40 acres and a mule" concession. At the high end dissolution of foreign ownership barriers. The repercussions are far to complex to discuss here.


One of my ancestors was in Washington's Army. They are the ones who made the right to stay.


A country in which the "more white" minority f**ks over the "more native" majority.. I do not think that such systems are stable or create people interested in keeping it working. A large enough problem will help break it down.

This is a south american problem.. though.

//Mexico's problems are just beginning. Just wait until they become a net importer of oil within 5 years.//

Evil


And if they don't fire you, prepare to be demoted (with a 50% pay cut):

"...as many as 8,000 [Best Buy] senior sales associates are effectively demoted to positions that could eventually pay half the hourly rate as their old jobs. The retailer is also consolidating some assistant store manager positions, which Bernstein estimates could eliminate about 1,000 salaried jobs."--from WSJ


lawyerlizinMI (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 12:06pm.

My came when it was super easy to get here. Not the same thing at all.

When it was super easy for those of European descent you mean. Because its never been super easy for anyone else (legally). 14 years to get a green card for us, despite having a family member whose references were 2 congressman and a state senator.


My forefathers too came the legal way, via manifest destiny!

Re Cuban Spanish, mine is not good enough to tell, but I've heard the accent is a mindbender.

And the Chinese laboring underclass comment above is interesting as far as labor arbitrage is concerned, but within China it is the windblown outsiders from the countryside filling the bill.

These differences between humans will shift always, but are seen as eternal.


Re: Immigration
We need high walls AND a big gate. We get a lot of talent from abroad and net net immagrents add to the society, but the ones who come should be the ones who follow the rules, but for that to happen the rules have to be reasonable. When there is a 15 year wait for a visa, the rules will not be followed, and it is sort of hard to get too upset with those who break them, but it is not what you want in a country based on teh rule of law. We need to expand the immigration quotas, and have better border security


That is a minor detail for the so called "sons of the soil" .. but you cannot reason with scared idiots who believe that only their "white" race can innovate.

//Yeah, better get rid of that H1-B visa program now. Have to stop that flow of foreign born engineers into the country, otherwise they'll continue to do untold damage by continuing to found 50% of all silicon valley start-ups.//

Evil


Wow, check this out-- a map of unemployment by counties, from the BLS, across the U.S. This tells you a lot more than the state rates do, IMO.

http://www.bls.gov/lau/maps/twmcort.gif


Um H-1B visas are only $65,000 a year and are not family-based. H-1Bs are less than 10% of annual legal immigration. I have no problem with the current number of H-1B visas, but the way some companies go after them is wrong IMO.

We allow 80,000 refugees a year, that can be a big problem for the communities that DHS settles them in. Big Big problems there with citizen quality of life. Plus our government is choosing where they are allowed to go.

But really we need to reduce the 600,000 a year family-based immigration to 100,000 to 200,000. Keep it to wives, husbands and young children under 18.


Ain't ol' Sebastian from NC?

Nostrovia,


Basel Too,
But these gains have a cost, and a hefty one at that. They are sucking every last dollar out of the taxpayer, individual investors, hedge funds, pension funds (somebody has to be buying the CDS, right), bondholders, etc. Are we going to save the banks while the rest of the economy slips into a death spiral? Who are they going to leech off of then? Or do they know the whole ship is going down and just want to save themselves by looting and paying bonuses while the gettin's good?

If this isn't criminal, then it should be. And you're telling me the media wasn't complicit in adding to the calls for nationalization, and then reversing to promote green shoots?

I weep for my country. And my puts Sad


nuthin but good news today


I thought North Carolina was immune! What is happening to all the jobs!!


alybaba (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 9:15am.
When it was super easy for those of European descent you mean.

California begs to differ señor.


1st member of my family in America was a German mercenary who fought for the British but got captured. Guess that's legal enough.


OK, not going to even try to catch up on this thread BUT:

" Are you talking about the Mexicans or the Americans doing the looking?

It'll be kind of a staring contest on both sides, I think. "

Isn't that the definition of a Mexican standoff?

Nostrovia,


Perhaps the best thing that can happen is for Mexico to go into anarchy and the United States to be able to go in and try to rebuild it's government institutions. At the same time we can create a comprehensive immigration and worker visa system. There is no reason for every poor Mexican to have to be an American. We can certainly have people come and go and work back and forth, while being treated with respect and dignity, without their families becoming wards of the state.


Turbo wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 9:10am
Yeah, better get rid of that H1-B visa program now. Have to stop that flow of foreign born engineers into the country, otherwise they'll continue to do untold damage by continuing to found 50% of all silicon valley start-ups
---------------------------------
C'mon turbo, H1B is a huge scam. You could tighten up the requirements by a large margin and not effect sv startups one bit. Probably >80 of the H1B's in my industry (Software) suck. Why let people in to do a sub-par job when you have unemployed Americans who may or may not suck just as bad? Oh, that's right, b/c you pay them half. And in today's outsourcing world, a warm body in a chair that bills and you only pay half is a win for you (still don't understand how Bearing Point could go bankrupt with that model, but I am sure the fat cats at the top have funneled off a huge amount of cash.)


Popeye

You still 100% long???


alybaba,

Idiots pretend to be superior until their system collapses and they become insolvent and discredited. The vast majority of whites (who believe in their inherent superiority) will be lucky to eat dog food if the living standards of the rest of the world do not increase to current western levels.

But that is a minor detail.. Smile

And now I expect someone to say the environment and resources cannot support that.. Please shut up.. Nobody has been good at long term prophecies.. even so called experts who are white.. and NO you are not special.. Hubris and stupidity are universal traits.

//When it was super easy for those of European descent you mean. Because its never been super easy for anyone else (legally). 14 years to get a green card for us, despite having a family member whose references were 2 congressman and a state senator.//

Evil


Rob Dawg
Is the US very far behind Mexico problem?

jo6pac


Sebastian was my Mentor

Anything about Sebastian is a+1


w

You're joking right?


At the risk of stepping into the illegal immigration snakepit of debate, I have a comment. While many people look at immigrants and say they are taking jobs from Americans, there is another problem. Especially in CA, AZ, and FL, they are renters and sometimes homeowners. For every 5 illegals who leave, one housing unit is vacated. Rents and/or housing prices drop more. There is less demand for food and retail.

In a place like the City of Los Angeles, if a substantial portion of the illegal immigrant population left, there would be a huge increase in rental vacancies. I have not found an authoritative figure, but 15-25% of the City's population wouldn't surprise me.


Misean~!!! Happy to see you are back.

The mother is bored with me at the screen, so I'm out to spend some money and boost the economy.

And of course I meant European descent

lawyerliz--finance the REOs.


This is clusterflock of epic proportions. Allowed to stew for the last 27 years and seasoned on all sides with exploitation and stirred with hyperbole. Concerned.


Minor detail Smile

//In a place like the City of Los Angeles, if a substantial portion of the illegal immigrant population left, there would be a huge increase in rental vacancies. I have not found an authoritative figure, but 15-25% of the City's population wouldn't surprise me.//

Evil


Tim,
85% cash - only trading with 15%; but all of that is short.

.............................

If you don't take your profits, someone else will.


jo6pac (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 9:22am.
Rob Dawg
Is the US very far behind Mexico problem?

The US can fall very very far and still be functional. IMO Mexico has already become ungovernable for the reasons stated. The US also doesn't have the social strains we see in Mexico.


That Time article is still indicating that everyone is looking through rose-colored glasses on this depression.

What, exactly, do they think the kids of the working class and disenfranchised ex-middle-class strivers are going to do in a generation or so? Just sit there and watch "illegals" or the offspring of illegals get the jobs?

There is nothing in this scenario that accounts for the millions of non-immigrants who are falling out of the middle class as we type. "College degrees all around!" is an unsustainable plan. The new, modern fields they are supposedly training for are not guaranteed to exist and generate tons of jobs. Americans refuse to believe that the middle class is anything but "too big to fail." But it is failing right now. Massive numbers of families are being winnowed out. Americans simply aren't used to contemplating a failure of upward mobility on such a massive scale. Or worse, a massive wave of downward mobility.

It's sad and scary, but there is no sugarcoating that illegal immigrants (and their children especially) in the U.S. are now caught in a vise - even if they choose not to see it that way. The backlash against the multicultural Camelot we're hoping to have in the Obama Era, will be ugly and intense. The shoes haven't even dropped yet.


We are special and it can never happen here.

"The US can fall very very far and still be functional."

Evil


Some investor guy. We need immigrants to support asset prices in the future. Although one could agree or disagree where the immigrants with the best skills are coming from we have not done enough to encourage the talented ones already here to stay IMO


Ahem.. the system has left reality a long time ago. We better have a system that allows the jobless to live a middle class lifestyle, otherwise it will come apart.. illegals or not.

//It's sad and scary, but there is no sugarcoating that illegal immigrants (and their children especially) in the U.S. are now caught in a vise - even if they choose not to see it that way. The backlash against the multicultural Camelot we're hoping to have in the Obama Era, will be ugly and intense. The shoes haven't even dropped yet.//

Evil


w,

"Perhaps the best thing that can happen is for Mexico to go into anarchy and the United States to be able to go in and try to rebuild it's government institutions."

Horse crap!

The best thing Mexico could do is legalize all drugs and tell the gringo to the north to Eff Off!

"[L]et me express the common Mexican and indeed South American view of the, oh god, War on Drugs. It goes thusly:

Latin America does not have a drug problem. It has a United States problem. The problem is that Americans want drugs. The US is a huge, voracious, insatiable market for drugs. Americans very much want their brain candy. They will pay whatever they need to pay to get it. All the world knows this.

Why, Mexicans wonder, is America's drug habit Mexico's problem? If Americans don't want drugs, they can stop buying them. Nobody forces anyone to use the stuff."

http://www.fredoneverything.net/FOE_Frame_Column.htm

Nostrovia,


For all the talk about how bad things are in Californian it needs to be kept in perspective. I know quite a few who've lost their jobs, this is true, but the highways are just as crowded with cars, public transit still riding and railing around with plenty of empty seats, restaurants still crowded, planes still arriving seconds apart, lights still blazing night and day, prices still up up and away, things going about as usual. If this is what the greatest crisis sinced the great depression looks like here in So Cal at least, then it ain't so bad.


--
A reality check on the bank rescues…
http://online.barrons.com/article/SB123940701204709985.html?page=1

"XXXX -- this guy has an impeccable reputation as he led the Savings & Loan task force. Clearly he is pointing to the scale of corruption pervading Wall Street and Washington at the moment."

I have been screaming for the past 6 years that crooks of Wall Street control the Fed and the USG. Now it is obvious to more people.

"I guess London is the same."

Where do you suppose the NYC crooks learned their game? The ruling elite in both countries have the same cultural and ethnic traits.

"Just shows there are some great Americans out there who could fix this thing."

Fix things? This guy, even though well meaning and smart, is a born-and-bred American dope. There is no "fixing things" short of real threat to lives, families and property of all that belong to the Network of the Crooks. Crooks that control the govt have no reasons to change unless they are forced to at the gunpoint.

Jas "the broken record" Jain


Scone-- thanks for the map.

I'm off to Pinedale, Sublette County Wyoming (pop. 1412) to submit a feel good piece about the lowest unemployment rate in the nation!


Yep!!

//Latin America does not have a drug problem. It has a United States problem. The problem is that Americans want drugs. The US is a huge, voracious, insatiable market for drugs. Americans very much want their brain candy. They will pay whatever they need to pay to get it. All the world knows this.//

Evil


None of the H1-B's I know are paid less than their American counterparts. In fact, they're generally paid more because they're more qualified and motivated than their American counterparts. The only scam going on here is the idea that importing people with a minimum of a bachelor's degree, and usually advanced degrees in technical disciplines that Americans are not pursuing, lowers living standards for everyone. Even in the current environment, the US unemployment rate for engineers is 3%, which is well below what's considered full employment.


ll,

Wink

Nostrovia,


scone,

you're right on RE the Cubans' accent. Their Spanish is, well, let's just say "different."


'They don't have an economy that can support the importation of oil.'
And we do, having wisely invested in massive amounts of firepower since the end of the cold war.

'No doubt humanitarian in country aid.'
Spearheaded by the 82 Airborne around the Bay of Campeche.

'I'd also suggest that US privatization of their petroleum industry will be part of the price.'
Certainly worked in making Iraq a top 5 exporter of oil to the U.S.

'Land reform is likely as well. At the low end a "40 acres and a mule" concession.'
Wow - you really don't know much Mexican history, do you? 'When it comes to inefficiency, few areas can compete with Mexican
agriculture. In the wake of the Mexican Revolution of 1910, the government handed out small parcels of land _ called ejidos _ to landless peasants. Over the years, however, those plots were divided and subdivided; they also lacked investment and economies of scale.'
The Dallas Morning News, August 9, 2001

In other words, they already did that, leading to a major cause of today's problems in the countryside.


"Perhaps the best thing that can happen is for Mexico to go into anarchy"

Katrina really showed the "inner strength" of USA. It has none. Living in a developing Asian nation near Vietnam I can tell you one thing, locals rely on on their family and boy, they really have big ones. Something like baby boomers after WWII in the western world living inside one hut.

What you are gonna do when SHTF? CALL your mama or daddy in another state?! When banks are closed and you cannot even travel because of all out riots? Actually those gang war zones in American cities are going to be better off because they are already living a sort of (very violent civil war type) 3rd world. Those mama and daddys there are already doing small favours here and there. And it is the small favours that makes the world go around in times of crises...


as many as 8,000 [Best Buy] senior sales associates are effectively demoted to positions that could eventually pay half the hourly rate

I've been bullish as hell this earnings season, especially the retailers and the financials, because i felt people had priced in Armageddon. But the surprises in these sectors are the results of "low hanging fruit" and not fundamentals.

Retailers cut staff to the bone and bled off existing inventory. Repeating the cost-cutting, even thought BBY is trying pretty hard, won't be duplicated.
Banks made much of their earnings on trading gains and refis, which won't also won't be around. Additionally, I read somewhere that the moneycenters stand to make ~$2B on BigPharma deals this quarter alone.

They are sucking every last dollar out of the taxpayer, individual investors, hedge funds, pension funds (somebody has to be buying the CDS, right), bondholders, etc.

Of course, i realize that, but unfortunately DC writes the rules.


That county map is interesting but a little misleading because it doesn't show the RATE of drop. Upstate NY looks pretty bad, but it has been only somewhat less bad for 20 years so there is far less potential social disruption than in someplace like California or even the Carolinas.

It would be more interesting to see some kind of map that presented unemployment rates along with things like racial/ethnic diversity, Gini coefficient, etc, all of which could be more accurate predictors of where the shit is really going to hit the fan the most.


some investor guy (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 9:23am.
At the risk of stepping into the illegal immigration snakepit of debate, I have a comment. While many people look at immigrants and say they are taking jobs from Americans, there is another problem. Especially in CA, AZ, and FL, they are renters and sometimes homeowners.

The posters "w" and "effective demand" are local and will confirm, this is why Oxnard is so completed screwed. You should see the REOs with $600k mortgages and they can't find the borrowers. They do find 5 families in the house but the signatory? Not to be found. They took the HELOC and the rent from those 5 families and bought a couple hectares in their hometown and are living comfortably. The "demand" for housing in some places was distorted by whole groups of people interested in equity and cash flow extraction and not housing.


sinomainia,

"For all the talk about how bad things are in Californian it needs to be kept in perspective. I know quite a few who've lost their jobs, this is true, but the highways are just as crowded with cars, public transit still riding and railing around with plenty of empty seats, restaurants still crowded, planes still arriving seconds apart, lights still blazing night and day, prices still up up and away, things going about as usual."

I've been applying that line of reasoning to the screaching from the PTB about "Too Big To Fail" banks and banksters. I actually think the only apocalypse that would ensue would be in and around Martha's Vineyard.

Nostrovia,


If the stress tests don't reveal a catastrophic level of undercapitalization for WFC, they are going to have to reopen the stock under ticker WTF.


Americans are not pursuing
-----------------------------------------
Not pursuing or not being trained and encouraged in?


Tell these deadbeat unemployed asswipes to start spending. There's plenty of credit out there....they need to go get it. They need to step up to the plate and be the champ. They need to be a real american and spend beyond there means.....some more.


Basel Too

I don't think Armageddon was priced in at all except maybe in oil prices when they hit 30 dollars or so. Retail and banking still are weighted too heavily in the SP500 for it to be at a true bottom back in March. We were getting close...


Amen Borocco


Hmmm. looks like someone wants to make some fresh loopholes.

WASHINGTON (AP) - Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says financial innovation has fallen on hard times because of the economic crisis.
In remarks prepared for a Fed community affairs research conference, Bernanke says new products like subprime mortgages and structured investment vehicles became symbols of the financial crisis. But he says innovation is needed to make the banking system more efficient and inclusive.
Bernanke says the government's challenge is to come up with regulations that will protect consumers without stifling innovation.


What happened to the GOOG rally???? Triple digit decline today????


Rob Dawg,

"The posters "w" and "effective demand" are local and will confirm, this is why Oxnard is so completed screwed."

I too am local. And I'll tell ya what. They saw what the gringos at Countryfried and Wall Street were up to, and got in on the game at the level they could play it.

But so did a lot of others.

You're not going to tell me that shite pile of particle board by the Camarillo Airport is going to turn a profit, are you? Or...heaven fofend...Riverbend? I hardly think that pile was built by border crossers.

Nostrovia,


The answer to the drug cartel issue is to decriminalize drugs. If we could grow our own weed, legally, we wouldn't need Mexico's.


bearly - I don't think stress test means what you think it does...


Bernanke says the government's challenge is to come up with regulations that will protect consumers without stifling innovation.

Nobama said the same thing when he was at Georgetown. He used the word "innovation" and "finance" in the same sentence. At least the Telepromter told him to say it... Could have been a typo.

Finance "finances" innovation not the other way around.


Engineers 3% unemployment. So it's no big deal we need more H-1Bs.

Whoa. Wait.

That's higher than the college graduate unemployment rate.

Nice try.

Why not open up H-1Bs to lawyering profession? They make lots of money and wages is the only true measure of "labor scarcity". (yes they do)

That would kill H-1B expansion.

Modest, citizenship track immigration with picking sector winners and loser is fine.
Guest workers whether lettuce pickers or java coders is not critical and amounts to subsidies for already very rich people.


Lobbyi$t Ben Dover wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 9:03am.
Mine came through the front door the legal way. Big difference!

Did they? Can you prove it? Would you leave if there were paperwork irregularities or are you content as an "anchor baby"?


Here's my simple solution:

First, its obvious that by moving to America people magically become richer.

So, the first thing to do is move the population of Mexico into the United States, where they would then have an American standard of living.

Then Mexico would be empty and you could then send a representative population of Americans down into Mexico.

So now Mexico would have an American standard of living.


Also, many of sadistic drug cartel members were trained at Fort Benning. I guarantee you they learned how to behead at The School of The Americas. Are we a great country, or what? Our tax dollars hard at work.


Latest Bonds Headlines From AP
12:14 PM Ark. jobless rate edges up to 6.5 percent in March
12:07 PM Indiana's jobless rate hits 10 percent in March
12:01 PM Maine unemployment rate hits 8.1 percent in March
11:57 AM Ohio's jobless rate at 25-year high in March
11:54 AM Pa. homes in foreclosure hit 4-year high in March
11:45 AM RI unemployment steady at 10.5 percent in March
10:07 AM Utah has 12,000 houses in foreclosure
08:23 AM Firm: Calif. median price down slightly in month
05:47 PM Pennsylvania unemployment rate highest since 1992
05:23 PM Illinois jobless rate hits 9.1 percent in March


... [ with --> without ] picking winnners ....

solly.


Pennsylvania is only at the beginning of the long slide, not the middle, like Michigan or South Carolina.


Silver is getting killed today?????????


First, its obvious that by moving to America people magically become richer.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
You know , I am wonderning if that might be seen as looting?


Michigan is all washed up. We need to start building nuclear power facilities and send the waste to Michigan.


Comrade Misean ... (member) wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 9:41am.
Rob Dawg,
"The posters "w" and "effective demand" are local and will confirm, this is why Oxnard is so completed screwed."
I too am local. And I'll tell ya what. They saw what the gringos at Countryfried and Wall Street were up to, and got in on the game at the level they could play it.
But so did a lot of others.
You're not going to tell me that shite pile of particle board by the Camarillo Airport is going to turn a profit, are you? Or...heaven fofend...Riverbend? I hardly think that pile was built by border crossers.
Nostrovia,

So many of us? We definitely need to have a "Ventura County Bubble BBQ."

You are correct. It was definitely a case of jumping on what looked like a gravy train. I would add that there was a very brown cast to the Mortgage Broker, Realitter, escrow company, etc. support teams who facilitated this disaster. Brown on brown betrayal of trust was part of why this is so tragic.

Riverbottom is a non-brainer profit center for the original developers. They snookered the rubes on the City Council and have win-win guarantees no matter how much the actual project fails. Have you heard all the rumors about the retail component? That said, you need to look at the retail RRE closings in Riverbottom, few as they may be. Lots of surnames ending in "z" if you know what I mean.


Canada won't like that one bit, Borocco.

But I do wholeheartedly agree that we have to get the nuclear waste issue under control. Too many damn disasters waiting to happen.


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From the "No shit, Sherlock Department"

BOSTON (AP) - Some leaders of towns are saying the federal stimulus package is neglecting the cornerstones of community life.
They say there's plenty of money for things like highways and solar panels but little or none to build new town halls, swimming pools, community centers or police stations.
Many local officials hoped the money would arrive in huge blocks with few strings. In the end, Congress opted to funnel much of the money through existing federal channels.
The scale and complexity of the stimulus package has added to the confusion.
For instance, state officials were first told there would be no money to build schools. They later found out the construction of new elementary and high schools is allowed.


My father came from Belgium. Shockingly, he came in under the quota, and didn't have much trouble being a) white and b) not dirt poor. Funny thing is the same two criteria qualified me for Belgian citizenship.


The unemployment rate for all college grads is closer to 6%, not under 3% - engineers have the lowest u-rate amoung college grads.
If the US actually trained more engineers, scientists, etc and fewer lawyers and mba's, then the need for an H1-B program would be reduced.
I'd agree that a general track immigration policy that favors educated or related immigrants makes sense, but face it, US immigration policy is a mess, and targeting the program that brings in the most highly skilled immigrants to be shut down makes no sense at all.


But I do wholeheartedly agree that we have to get the nuclear waste issue under control. Too many damn disasters waiting to happen.

I say we put it in our drinking water to prevent cavities and strengthen teeth. We do it for fertilizer production. It's an ingenious idea.

http://www.purewatergazette.net/fluorideandphosphate.htm


head removal adds such a piquant touch to mayhem, never stoop to terrorism i say


What is the worst senario UE rate for the stress tests?


Anak wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 9:16am.
My forefathers too came the legal way, via manifest destiny!

I only got to be "white" within my lifetime. When I was born, I was a subhuman slav who felt less pain that normal people, was prone to animal rage, too stupid to be trained for complex thinking or labor. Then they stopped having enough guys who came over on the Mayflower to be "really white" and so all us Micks, Pollacks, Eye-talians and others got to be white.

That taught me everything about white people I ever needed to learn. Bring on the darkies. I'm more one of "them" than one of "you" -- I know, I used to hear it so often growing up.

Payback is a bitch, huh gringo?


One of my forefathers, actually a lot of them, liked to get drunk. Who cares?

Let the brown people take over. Better food. Anyone starts talking about their "blood" (blut) or "Lineage" or whatever needs to get kicked in the ass.

http://afterthecrash.net - Home of the Doomer Story Portal and Other Stuff


Mexico will always be a problem for America as there is no legitimate way to get ahead there. The wealthy and corrupt make the hated Wall St bankers look like Mother Theresa.

I do not say that perhaps the best thing for Mexico is for it to go into anarchy lightly, as if it would be nice for everyone and we should pack a picnic and go watch from a hill across the Rio Grand. But until there is a revolution or similar pivotal event there will be no chance for change there. That event may be at hand with the current confluence of events.

I work with a lot of Mexicans. They do not go home much anymore because it has gotten so bad. They all get robbed. They are in fear for their families when they travel. Tehy cannot go home and farm because if you bring anything there it WILL be stolen, unless you have your own security force and pay the right criminals for protection.

Also, I know quite a few Mexicans in Oxnard who are buying new homes and walking from the one's that they bought for 600k. It is the new paradigm. There will be a lot of demand for homes in Oxnard as every Mexican with a good cash flow is thinking the same thing. Buy homes at cheaper prices and rent it out to multiple families. More power to them. Oxnard is a Mexican American community. If you want to live somewhere more European American go to Ventura or Camarillo.


If you are unemployed it is your fault.
If you are a renter. Then you are stupid.
If you wear your name, or company logo, or both, on your shirt; then you are trash.
If your shirt is white but has the company logo you are upwardly mobile trash.
If you live in a bad area; it is your fault.
If you are fat; you are worthless.
If you do not understand the key words I drop upon first meeting you then you are trash.
You must own certain material goods to be recognized as fully human.
You must have been to certain places listed on the entitlement menu.

http://afterthecrash.net - Home of the Doomer Story Portal and Other Stuff


This just in from bubblevision, "record CA unemployment is backward looking, lagging indicator!"

Somehow they forgot to recognize the trend is shooting UP which indicates WHAT?


America only needs illegal immigrants to kick themselves out of real work and into smart stuff like a Nail Technician and other highly demanded skill jobs. The five million jobs OB is saving are for the illegals!


debtinator,

Farm labor is a subsidy to farmers. That is not their fault. The goverment quietly subsidizes industries like farming because there is no way to compete with the free trade agreements we have. They have to subsidize it quietly because our citizens rail against any kind of guest worker system. If you want your fresh produce grown in a third world country fine, but I don't. I have worked there and seen the utter disregard for basic sanitation and pesticide safety.

Oh, and having 300 million back yard farmers would be an ecological nightmare.


What green shoots and leaves?

Alan Greenspan?


scone at 916

thanks for the map

hey way interesting...looks like one county has the 0 to 1 plus UE rate

looks like the county that includes pinedale and jackson hole

lots of royalty money there (from movies, music and oil!)


Payback is a bitch, huh gringo?

Anonymous, payback (wasp rot) is what it is, but inability to detect sarcasm can be overcome.


w wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 10:15am.

Oh, and having 300 million back yard farmers would be an ecological nightmare.

It's a problem with no solution except doing exactly what we're doing no, which doesn't work! You can't upset the apple cart, even if the axle's broken!

"What is a vested interest for 1000, Alex?"


Anak wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 10:25am.
Payback is a bitch, huh gringo?

Anonymous, payback (wasp rot) is what it is, but inability to detect sarcasm can be overcome.

I know you're being scarcastic, Anak. You're not the gringo I'm talking to -- I think I'm pretty much agreeing with you. =)

CBR, hedge-hopping


Waiting for dry weather and then they can deliver my dump load of garden soil. Screw imported produce.


CBR, hedge-hopping

Shee-at, if I'd known, I'd have saved us all some bandwidth.

Guess you're at a show. Come back when you can.


The 50% of silicon valley companys started by immigrants are mostly Indian IT sweat shops - they under-cut IT companies that employ Americans with crazy low project bids and then send the work to India. It is absolutly no different then US manufacturing sent to China except its high-paying white collar jobs vs. blue collar.

American kids now have no incentive to go into engineer schools, that is why there are not American engineers, why become an engineer and then make $10 per hour? Engineering used to be a solid job in the USA with benefits and retirement, no longer.

H1-B visas must be 100% stopped as long as a single American is still out of work. The IT shops should be forced to bring jobs back to the USA if they want to sell thier services in the USA.

There is no shortgage of US engineers and IT workers, it is just that being a real estate agent paid twice as much, was twice as fun, and an easy job.


The Drug issue is not about weed so much as meth and coke. If we legalized weed we'd still have border troubles.


That is true, very little innovation in SIlicon valley is done by Indians. Unless you call Wal-Mart IT innovation. What India did was take over American IT services in the exact same way that Wal-Mart took over US manafucturing.

India = IT
China = Manufuacturing.
Mexico = Janitors, Construction Workers

So we now have 3 slave states dependent on the US market and the only job markets left in the US market are finance, government, and military (security clearance).

We are only in the 2nd inning of this huge mess. We will see nationalization at some point as the masses wake up.

I would be more impressed with India, China, & Mexico if they could build a functioning society that is not based on slave labor in the USA.


get involved in stopping ... tidal wave of family based legal immigration (if you haven't already)

Immigration is fine if it respects and benefits BOTH immigrants and citizens.

Because nothing shows more respect to immigrants than keeping husbands and wives or parents and children separated.


I would impressed in Mexico could figure out basic plumbing.

When Americans lived in poverty there were still able to build communities with plumbing, why?

Organization. Anglo-Saxon culture is very good at organizing social structures OUTSIDE OF THE FAMILY structure. These leads to cities, companies, and nations.

Spanish culture is built around the family (think Mafia) and so places like Mexico are incapalbe of even organizing enough local families together into building a city with basic plumbing that they all then share. Eventually some family loses trust with thier nieghbors and you get a mafia like structure.

100% of sucessful firms in Mexico are run by a single family in a Mafia like structure.

Mexico will never get out of poverty unless the culture changes, and scariest scenario is that kind of culture taking hold in the USA. It also has in Los Angeles which is fast becoming a Mexican cess-pool Mafia run city.


I'm a market researcher sitting on the release of some data that's supposed to go out today. But think I have to sit on it because of fear there's something wrong with it in collection. It's supposed to be a national sample and two years ago we collected this data and 71% of the research subjects were employed. This time, the data says 57% are employed. So did we screw up the data collection? I have to go through this process of trying to find out what's wrong with it. Just have to because no one will accept it otherwise.

I am really scared. Either my data is all screwed up somehow or the job losses are worse than what's being recognized.


That is true, the only clean Mexican toilets are in the high-end tourist centers, why is that? Ancient Rome was able to build better toilets then Mexicans.

Take a drive around Los Angeles, the city does look like Mexico. Falling into disrepair except for the few non-Mexican enclaves left.

Living in a civilized society has nothing to do with wealth, all to do about culture.

Certain cultures are able to organize around the individual and built great societies, others are stuck with the family at the center and unable to build any type of social structures including demcratic governments outside the family unit.

These family based society like Mexico love to bash America on the fact that American's have no respect for the family. This is true, Americans hold the individual about the family.

You don't need to be tied down because of your family, this was the great American innovation and is at risk. The question is will the next generation of Mexicans be able to assimulate and lose thier Mexican family culture or not.


That is true, the only clean Mexican toilets are in the high-end tourist centers, why is that? Ancient Rome was able to build better toilets then Mexicans.

Take a drive around Los Angeles, the city does look like Mexico. Falling into disrepair except for the few non-Mexican enclaves left.

Living in a civilized society has nothing to do with wealth, all to do about culture.

Certain cultures are able to organize around the individual and built great societies, others are stuck with the family at the center and unable to build any type of social structures including demcratic governments outside the family unit.

These family based society like Mexico love to bash America on the fact that American's have no respect for the family. This is true, Americans hold the individual about the family.

You don't need to be tied down because of your family, this was the great American innovation and is at risk. The question is will the next generation of Mexicans be able to assimulate and lose thier Mexican family culture or not.


Los Angeles is Meximerica.

Many local officials are now Mexican and most local governments (exceptions such as Santa Monica where things still seem to work) are Mafia like organization. No respect for the individual, only respect for which family you are in or connected to.

Scary, scary place. Once the film industry moves out, Los Angeles then becomes a third world nation within a nation.


LAS: "I am really scared."

Join the club. Let us know what you find out. There's sure to be some sampling error (please) but I appreciate you cannot put ;your name on the findings until you get a handle on it.

Anon Anglo, no comment. Be gone to someplace that meets your fancy.


The h1-b thing I have had mixed feelings on. Most of the h1-b engineer's I've met honestly were paid equal or more so I do not think that is much of an issue. I think for an h1-b engineer's point of view, the limited job mobility for the 3-6 years they will be on an h1-b is what keeps their wages from growing though.

So maybe 3-4 years into their h1-b stay they may be making less than others. I would have to say though that basically everyone I know who was an H1-b fully intended to become a citizen of the united states. The Indian ones even more so. I suppose I figure this is probably good for the country overall if they do become citizens, we need all the smart people we can get.

On the flip side this makes the supply of engineers greater which is good for the country and bad for me personally (as i'll get paid less). The whole smart people thing is important too. Amongst basically everyone I know who is an engineer we more or less agree that maybe 5% - 10% of people could actually ever do the job. And maybe only half of those even want the job. I mean engineers have to have a certain type of mind. So I do not understand the "hey we should give american's that job" idea. I mean do you want your car or the software running a radar system to be designed by someone subpar just so it will be an american? I mean think about it this way... if there was some indian guy who was really good at making italian food, wouldnt you want that guy to make your food instead of just some guy down the street who happens to be italian?

I mean some of the pro american worker types seem to think you can turn say a blue collar manufacturing worker into an engineer given enough training. Its not that type of field. IT will NEVER happen. We need to bring manufacturing back to america. As someone who worked at a computer manufacturing plant in america in high school (that was moved to mexico because it cost too much to run in california) , we probably need to do something like, give everyone healthcare and then LOWER the minimum wage, or just keep devaluing the dollar until we can build things here. Americans also I might add do not want to do manufacturing. I worked at a factory of maybe 400 people (used to build HP computers) and it was probably 95% mexican americans, and a few scattered african americans and asians. Your typical white american would rather work in the FIRE economy and be one of California's 2 million real estate agents. I think we need to make people value again, that manufacturing is not a shameful job , and that there is some honor in it and that doing something worthwhile is a good thing. Right now the only people who will work in manufacturing will do it only if it pays $30 an hour at GM.

As it stands now, California is screwed. It is not cost effective to build things in america and especially so in this state. And now that all these non productive sectors like real estate are dead and may never come back its just going to be painful for a while.


H1-B engineers are NOT paid equal, the entire whole is reduced, that is why Americans no longer go into engineering.

Engineers used to be paid on par with lawyers and doctors in America, now they make less then real estate agents, insurance salesmen, mortgage brokers, ect... why would anyone in America become an engineer?

and I'm not talking a business entreprenuer running a technology company, that is different you fool, I'm talking about becoming an engineer for $10 an hour.

$10 hr. Well a lawyer gets paid for ever hour (plus a few extra), engineers in silicon valley get paid for about 1/2 of all hours that they work. Most engineers work a few weekends a month and many nights without pay.

>>> Why not open up H-1Bs to lawyering profession? They make lots of money and wages is the only true measure of "labor scarcity". (yes they do)

Great Idea! India would love this. Indian law firms would pop up all over the country, they would under bid US law firms and then outsource the legal work to sweat shops. At first the quality would suck but then it would improve as it did with engineering.

Lawyers would then also make $10 per hour and there would be a "legal" workers shortgage in Amerca as nobody would go to law school for that.


Once GM and Chrysler go bankrupt, Unemployment in Michigan will go up another 2%. As it is, the tier 1s are shedding people left and right which is worth 1/2 of 1% per month. Michigan will exceed 15% easily.


To anonymous.

I do not think you understand how h1-bs work.

When the work is done in india it tends to be horrible. And that is not an h1-b visa. The h1-b visa people work in this country and they make whatever we make here and affter 4-5 years they can get a green card. They also tend to be the top tier guys in india. Sure the call centers are in india. But companies are not sponsoring people from india to live in the US to work at a call center.

The MAIN problem with h1-b visas is people on them have no mobility since they are sponsored by the company. Most people on an h1-b have no intention of going back home. They work extra so that they wont get laid off first, becuase they want to make it to that 4-5 year part where they get the green card.

That is the part that ruins it for americans, is they drive up the work done per $ as the h1-b guys tend to be the ones that stay on the weekends and such. I mean its both good and bad, but they are in fact indentured servants. Usually they make the same amount when they get hired, if not more. THe companies know they dont have to promote them during this 4-5 year pre green card period. That is probably the main problem at least salary wise. That 2-3 years of them being underpaid and afraid to ask for a raise because they could get laid off and lose their sponsorship.

If we REALLY wanted to solve the h1-b problem, we would just give h1-b people a green card after 1 year. Why not right? If they want to stay here why not, make them productive americans after 1 year, solves most of the problems. Do we not want productive americans that will make us more competitive as a country? H1-b visa is a very imperfect program, but I think overall it still maybe helps america given that 1 good engineer can support many other peripheral jobs.

I mean if I could trade some useless americans that say sell real estate or do banking and could not do something more productive, for basically the best indian has to offer I would do it. Of course india wouldn't let us do this. What would theydo with those people. America has just got messed up values.

I like to think about it this way. We are robbing other countries of their most talented and productive workers if they come here and successfully immigrate and become americans. I mean you have no guarantee that they will want to stay. But really we should make it easier so that they do, we are stealing from these other countries.


No you can't convert a 50 year old blue collar worker into an engineer (although it does happen, exceptions) but you can provide the incentive for all his children to become engineers.

The reason that they do not is economic, nothing else. The best American jobs are finance (MBAs), Laywers, Doctors, Government, Military so that is what SMART American kids go into.

Only losers go into engineering, go hang out at any upper class public or private high-school in America. The kids are warned NOT to go into engineering because they will work very hard (compete with sweet shops) and get paid nothing in comparison. Just get an MBA or Law degree, you will work less and get paid more.

The really smart kids become Doctors because that will the last field to be outsourced.


Here is what I wrote on Zacks.com on unemployment by state:

It is no secret that unemployment is high and getting higher. The national rate is now 8.5%, up from 8.1% in February. However, the pain has not been spread equally. There are now eight states with double digit unemployment, a level that nationwide was only seen at the very depths of the early 1980's recession, and which for many people represents a fairly workable definition of a depression (there is no official agreed upon definition). On the other hand, there are also eight states with unemployment that is below 6.0%, a level that is pretty close to what many economists would consider full employment (some disagreement here on the level of "full employment" but in the ballpark).

The problem is that almost nobody lives in the low employment states, and lots of people live in the high employment states. The eight "full employment" states together account for just 5.71% of the total population of the country. The eight "depression" states account for 24.25% of the population. California alone has more than twice the population of the eight full employment states combined. The largest state among the "full employment" group only ranks 25th in population, and the list includes three of the four smallest population states. In contrast, three of the largest states in the union are "depression" states.

The trend toward higher unemployment is continuing. The list of "depression" states will grow. Four additional states (FL, KY, OH, TN) are knocking on the door of "depression status with unemployment rates of 9.6% or higher, as is the District of Columbia. Together they account for an additional 13.31% of the population. Thus there is a good chance that by next month more than one third of the country will be living is a depressed state. By the end of the year, I would expect that to be more than half the country.

High Unemployment States

State
Unemployment rate
% of U.S. Population

Michigan
12.6%
3.29%

Oregon
12.1%
1.23%

South Carolina
11.4%
1.44%

California
11.2%
11.95%

North Carolina
10.8%
3.08%

Rhode Island
10.5%
0.35%

Nevada
10.4%
0.84%

Indiana
10.0%
2.07%

Low Unemployment States

State
Unemployment rate
% of U.S. Population

North Dakota
4.2%
0.21%

Wyoming
4.5%
0.17%

South Dakota
4.9%
0.26%

Utah
5.2%
0.87%

Iowa
5.2%
0.98%

Louisiana
5.8%
1.40%

New Mexico
5.9%
0.64%

Oklahoma
5.9%
1.18%


Your typical white american would rather work in the FIRE economy and be one of California's 2 million real estate agents. I think we need to make people value again, that manufacturing is not a shameful job , and that there is some honor in it and that doing something worthwhile is a good thing.

The typical white American just wants to make a decent living. The FIRE economy paid far more than any manufacturing job, so Americans headed there. However, you aren't going to attract that many white Americans if you're paying minimum wage (or below to illegals) with no benefits in a dead end job.


...................competative whitel kids dont go to enigineering school nowadays .......it was the same situation about 20 years ago.......go to Stanford and Berkely engineering school......they became Asian schools ........esp. electrical eng. and com. sci.............


To hans:

I hire H1-B visas for a living. The reason we do is so that we can paid less per hour and then all corresponding American engineers need to accept less per hour. Over the years the wage rates and benefits all get pushed down.

Saying that H1-B visas get paid the same as Americans is like saying Mexican fruit pickers get paid the same as Americans that want to go pick fruit in the fields. True but completely ignorant. I hope that you are not one of India's brightest!

I can hire a new H1-B Java programmer for 40K limited benefits in this market and make him work like a dog, evenings and weekends for free for 5 years minimum. Try hiring a Lawyer with equivalent education and do the same? You completely lack understanding of how labor markets work.

Again, engineers in America used to get paid very well and retire with full pensions at 50! Just like Lawyers and Doctors do today. No American kid would be stupid enough to go into engineering.

Remember pay has to do with "total compensation for hours work" this includes training - learning new technology ever 5 years or so. Lawyer and Doctors get PAID while training and engineers used to in America.

Quality has nothing to do with it. Offshore quality is as good as onshore quality, you get what you pay for. If you pay offshore workers well you can infact get better quality then in the USA. The problem with offshore quality is that the pay is at the minimum so you get fake Indian engineers for fake Indian engineering schools (kind of like Pheonix online in India).

The way to fix engineering in America is to STOP H1-B Visas and allow engineering wages to rise back to par with Lawyers and Doctors, then you will see a huge influx of American kids into engineering schools. Simple economics.


"The way to fix engineering in America is to STOP H1-B Visas and allow engineering wages to rise back to par with Lawyers and Doctors, then you will see a huge influx of American kids into engineering schools. Simple economics."

................the problem is born-and-bred American kids dont have enough math and science skills to follow engineering curriculums ..........it's not a wage issue .......basic science education should be overturned and remedied..........simply you cant replace foreign born engineers with natives..........


Yes, the H1-B problem is not a shortage of American engineers but a shortage of CHEAP engineers willing to work like dogs with low salaries relative to thier education levels and without pensions.

At my company, the American project managers make more then of most of the engineers, work less, and have liberal arts degrees. LOL, it is crazy.

If you do the numbers in California, working as a state college teacher with full pension, top benefits, and job security you make much much much much more over your lifetime or hours worked then an engineer in silicon valley or some IT sweet shop.


Should READ....RECORD TREND BEGINNING.....This shit aint even gotten started good yet....Yeah, that is Southern for Were FUCKED


Ha Ha, also most technology recruiters without college educations make more then the highly educated engineers that they place into the IT sweat shops.


@ JD

Bullshit....Why would an AMERICAN pay 150-200K for a degree from the States when the company can get some kid who gets HIS college on the cheap and sponsored from some lower tier Nation. The DEBT burden is the problem...NOT the lack of intelligence. It would be STUPID as HELL to go into that much debt and make the same amount as some 3rd World Sandbox Transplant.....Gimme a f=n BREAK!


>>>>> ................the problem is born-and-bred American kids dont have enough math and science skills to follow engineering curriculums ..........it's not a wage issue .......basic science education should be overturned and remedied..........simply you cant replace foreign born engineers with natives..........

Complete rubish. They demand and develop the skills that pay the most in society. Currently they develop skills to become finance majors, lawyers, and doctors.

Are you telling me finance, law, and medicine is easier then engineering? LOL. They simply have not been hit with a H1-B wage push down.

The reason there are so many MBA and LAW school is become DEMAND, every kid wants one.

If you pay entry level engineers 180K at a top firm and then provide an almost guarenteed path to retirement at 40, then engineering schools will pop up like daisies! You obviously have no clue as to how labor markets work.


I guess I must be underpaid then, or recruiters make a lot of money.

I get calls from recruiters offering in the just over 100k range all the time and even more so now that apparently engineering is the only field even hiring, and I've only been working for 5 years. I dont particularly feel underpaid. I mean most people can live on 100k a year right?

Seems like 100k would be reasonable incentive to work in engineering. Yes it is not the easiest field to be in. But it does hire if you can do it. Fortunately only some do, gotta love your job to do well in this.

Also WHY does hoocoodanode even allow anonymous posts? I do not understand that. I mean why not just write a script that spams the board with whatever ridiculous point you want to get across?


I love losing traders like you - a steady suplly of income for me. Really, you should practice strict risk management/position sizing.


.......Anonymous wrote on Fri, 04/17/2009 - 12:48pm. and ....Money Man (member) ...........I dont know your ages, but go to the engineering schools yourself , and do teaching or research assisant (TA or RA) and grading exams and papers.......you will see what I am saying.........


...................hans ............do you know what you have calls in this severe time?............engineering job is mostly dirty , hard and dangerous with near minimum wages .......nobody wants it , somebody have to do it..........


100K is nothing. You will NEVER be able to retire on 100K per year, without pension. Yes professional IT recuiters make a heck of lot more then 100K per year! I

Also, I'll bet you are NOT getting "calls all the time" for 100K plus year jobs in this market as I hire for the industry and wages are getting pushed down like crazy. A 10 year J2EE guy I just placed took a 90K job, now it does depend on which state you are talking about.

Plumbers, electricians, ect.. make more then 100K. An American engineer's pay is on par with plumbers and electricians. That is how I view it when I place this guys into sweat shops all over the country.

I'm making the comparision to the SMART American kids that go into finance, law, or medicine and get paid WELL and then retire at 40 or 50 with full pensions. NOT A SINGLE ENGINEER has that option, makiing only 100K per year

If you think 100K is a good salary, then you have no clue. Plus if you are a programmer in America then you probably work an extra 30-40 hours per week training (keeping up) and on "deadlines" (which we make sure are every week) LOL. So your TRUE salary based on a 40hr work week is about 50K per year.

Why not get a constructin job during the day and bartend at night for 50K each and you'll work the same and make the same? LOL.


>>>>Why not get a constructin job during the day and bartend at night for 50K each and you'll work the same and make the same? LOL

That was funny. If they guy is a computer engineer, then this will probably help him get laid as well and provide some social skill development.

Oh, and you are correct about 100K not being much money. I sell car insurance, have no college education, and make much more then 100K per year. I could not imagine raising a middle-class America family, my wife stays at home, on only 100K per year. Not possible where I live.


I made over 400K last year with a small crew of Mexicans doing trash outs of foreclosures left there by these 100K engineers and other back-office type workers that bought more home then they could afford.

Never went to high school, have no school debt.

How long does it take to pay off 150K of school debt on only a 100K salary? I don't know math much but I figure it is a long time, 10 years? I will be retired working on foreclosures by then.


.....................last year was boom time for your kind of people , but what do you make on average , saying since your are on this trashing biz , seriously........


To the engineering genius who thinks that lawyers all make tons of money and are not affected by Indian outsourcing-- why don't you try a quick Google of "legal outsourcing India" and see what you get? Most lawyers never go to court, particularly the ones who do work for multinational corporations-- and those corporations can have their work done anywhere. And they are doing just that, because they don't want to pay $500 an hour to have work done here when they could have it done for $10 an hour in India.


The states that recorded record unemployment rates in March -- noting, of course, that state data only go back to January 1976 -- were Florida (9.7%), Georgia (9.2%), California (11.2%), North Carolina (10.8%), Rhode Island (10.5%, though tied with February), and South Carolina (11.4%). Note that a few of these states were not well-defined "housing bubble" states, and that the current recession is not even remotely just a "housing related" recession.


People are keeping up appearances and living off what's left of their savings and credit (what's left of both), and if they are lucky to get it (CA is full of 'consultants' and other self-employed and temp contractors.) People are hoping that they'll find a job in the next 18 months so that they can stay in at least the bottom of the middle class.

When the middle class can no longer 'keep up appearances," which I believe will be in about 10 - 18 months, then things are going to get very, very awful.

About the restaurants: here in the SF Bay area, generally stats show that restos have seen a 30% drop in business. Bars are the same and up, though.


That was a response to the SoCal poster who didn't see anything bad around him/her.

Also: can we just stop the immigration whoo-ha, please? Also the white/minority stuff, where it is assumed that all us folks are white... many of the asian kids at ucb et al went to school with me and are third/fourth etc generation americans..


>>>.....................last year was boom time for your kind of people , but what do you make on average , saying since your are on this trashing biz , seriously........

Don't know, don't care, 'cause I'll be retired.

Smart means going where the money is.


You can't have a proper unemployment conversation without talking about illegal Mexicans and legal H1-Bs.

Get rid of both and America is back to full employment by Monday 9am.

America has been sold out by your leadership which were bought by bankers.

In other terms, labor was crushed by capital. Capital won, made zillions and has now shot itself.

American middle class was built on fair pay for a days work plus pensions when you hit 65. A single worker could easily support a spouse, 4 kids, and buy a home.

Today's America:
illegal Mexicans - Blue collar jobs - Cooks, Construction, Maids
Indian H1-Bs - White collar back office jobs
China - Manufacuturing
Blacks - Locked up in jail

Truth often hurts, until you can figure out and see the truth, you will not find a solution. Nothing racist about the truth.

a) Deport all illegal Mexicans, who cares if they popped out a kid in America, they do to help them stay.
b) Stop H1-B Visa programs and tax firms that send work offshore to the point of making it uneconomic.
c) Tax manufacturing for the true cost to the environment and for sending workers offhsore
d) Let all the black Americans and others out of jail for victim-less crimes (drugs) and fire all the 200K per year, political patronage, jail security jobs.

America would be back at full employment by the morning. That is the truth you don't hear on CNBC.


Done